Toll brothers, inc. TOL.US Swing Trading Analysis
US StockConsumer Cyclical
(No presentation for TOL)
TOL Swing Trading Score
3
24
15
Explosive Bullish
- AI analysis rates TOL with the highest swing trading score of 5.
- It is mainly due to the positive AI swing signal,along with the relatively low short-term volatility.
- Furthermore, based on historical backtesting, when entering with a swing trading score of 5 and exiting with a score of 1, resulted in 18 trades with a 50.0% win rate and an average profit/loss of 12.09%.
TOL Historical Swing Trading Score
You can use historical scores of 3 or above to observe potential performance and make investment decisions.
TOL Swing Trading Strategy Backtest
The following backtest is based on specified rules since 2007. Price chart shows buy/sell time, cumulative returns, and backtesting statistics.
Entry
Exit
The Backtest Result of TOL from 2007/01 till Now
- 338.69%
- Cumulative Return
- 8.40%
- Annual Return
- 31.30%
- Volatility
- 0.27
- Sharpe Ratio
Statistics data for entering at or above a Swing Trading score of 4 and exiting at or below a Swing Trading score of 2 from January, 2007 to May, 2025. (Total Trades: 148)
| TOL | Sector | US Overall Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wining Rate | 49% | 43% | 43% |
| Avg Return | 1.6% | 2% | 2.2% |
| Avg Profit | 9% | 14.2% | 14.5% |
| Avg Loss | -5.8% | -7.2% | -7.3% |
| Avg Risk-Reward Ratio | 156.1% | 196.1% | 199.9% |
Update to 2025/5/9 (Daily Update)