Toll brothers, inc. TOL.US Trend Analysis

US StockConsumer Cyclical
(No presentation for TOL)

TOL Trend Score

3

24

15

Consolidation
  • AI analysis rates TOL   with a medium trend score of 3.
  • It is mainly because the moving averages and AI trend signal  do not indicate a distinct direction .
  • Historically, TOL had a trend score of 3 on 235 occasions, with a 33% probability of profits and an average 0.75% increase in period returns.
  • Recently, following the change in TOL's trend score to 3, the stock price has experienced a 2.61% increase.

TOL Trend Reference Factors

Exclusive

The Trend score is derived from various data, mainly including price, volume, technical indicators and other information. The following lists two important factors when evaluating.

Update to 2025/05/10 (Daily Update)

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TOL Historical Trend Score

You can use historical scores of 3 or above to observe potential performance and make investment decisions.

TOL Trend Strategy Backtest

The following backtest is based on specified rules since 2007. Price chart shows buy/sell time, cumulative returns, and backtesting statistics.

Entry
Exit

The Backtest Result of TOL from 2007/01 till Now

28.56%
Cumulative Return
1.38%
Annual Return
20.46%
Volatility
0.07
Sharpe Ratio

Statistics data for entering at or above a Trend score of 4 and exiting at or below a Trend score of 2 from January, 2007 to May, 2025. (Total Trades: 68)

TOLSectorUS Overall Market
Wining Rate35%33%33%
Avg Return0.8%1.3%1%
Avg Profit10.2%15.9%14.7%
Avg Loss-4.4%-6%-5.8%
Avg Risk-Reward Ratio232.9%266.2%252.7%

Update to 2025/5/10 (Daily Update)

Top 10 High Relevance to TOL Trend Score