Toll brothers, inc. TOL.US Value Analysis

US StockConsumer Cyclical
(No presentation for TOL)

TOL Value Score

3

24

15

Limited Growth
  • AI analysis rates TOL  with a lower value score of 2.
  • It is mainly due to  unstable operating cash flow, along with potential value may be lower.
  • Over the past 3 months, TOL has maintained an average value rating of 2.5, close to the rating of 2.8 over the past 3 years, indicating low growth opportunities for enterprise value.
  • Compared to all stocks in the Consumer Cyclical sector, TOL has a medium value rating.

TOL Value Reference Factors

The Value score is derived from various data and factor information, integrated through AI algorithms. The following factors are part of the evaluation used by AI value scores.

Update to 2025/02/19 (Weekly Update)

TOL Financial Forecast

Unit : USD

Update to 2025/5/4 (Quarterly Update)

TOL Earnings Table

Unit : USD

QTRNon-GAAP EPSEPS YoYEPS Surprise %SalesSales YoYSales Surprise %NPM
Current
1.75
-22.2%
-12.1%
459.3M
-76.4%
-82.7%
56.2%
2024Q3
4.63
12.7%
6.7%
3.33B
10.4%
5.2%
13.7%
2024Q2
3.6
-3.5%
8.8%
2.73B
1.5%
0.7%
17%
2024Q1
3.38
18.6%
-18.8%
2.84B
13.2%
10%
12.3%
2023Q4
2.25
32.4%
26.4%
1.95B
9.4%
4.8%
14.8%

Update to 2025/5/8 (Quarterly Update)

TOL Historical Value Score

You can use historical scores of 3 or above to observe potential performance and make investment decisions.

TOL Value Strategy Backtest

The following backtest is based on specified rules since 2007. Price chart shows buy/sell time, cumulative returns, and backtesting statistics.

Entry
Exit

The Backtest Result of TOL from 2007/01 till Now

68.92%
Cumulative Return
2.90%
Annual Return
26.97%
Volatility
0.11
Sharpe Ratio

Statistics data for entering at or above a Value score of 4 and exiting at or below a Value score of 2 from January, 2007 to May, 2025. (Total Trades: 2)

TOLSectorUS Overall Market
Wining Rate100%49%53%
Avg Return34.3%61%72.3%
Avg Profit34.3%160%166.4%
Avg Loss--35.4%-34.6%
Avg Risk-Reward Ratio-452.5%480.4%

Update to 2025/5/8 (Daily Update)

Top 10 High Relevance to TOL Value Score